Finance

Thursday's big stock stories: what could move the market next

Markets brace for a data- and earnings-heavy session, starting with the 8:30 a.m. ET jobless-claims print (consensus 210,000). A slate of reports from AmEx, Honeywell, American Airlines, Blackstone, Intel, Tesla and ServiceNow—and AI-driven guidance—could set the near-term tone, with rate expectations and sector rotations in play.

Thursday's big stock stories: what could move the market next

Key Takeaways

  • Jobless-claims print at 210,000 consensus, with Kalshi odds implying a meaningful chance of a higher print (about 36% above 210k, 14% above 220k, 8% above 225k)
  • AmEx down 9.5% over 3 months, 14% below December high, but +10% in April
  • ServiceNow notes AI accounts for about half of revenue, beat on earnings and raised guidance, yet after-hours drop and a sizable YTD decline
  • Tesla beat earnings but missed revenue; after-hours ~1% drop; 22% below December high; +63% YoY
  • X-Energy IPO Friday; Renaissance IPO ETF up 19% in April; Vistra up 38% YTD; Constellation Energy up 43% YTD; SanDisk move flagged as potential misprint

People Involved

  • Robert Isom American Airlines Group CEO
  • Bill McDermott ServiceNow CEO

Entities Involved

  • American Express Financial services company
  • Honeywell Industrial conglomerate
  • American Airlines Group Airline
  • Blackstone Investment firm
  • Intel Semiconductor company
  • Tesla Electric vehicle maker
  • X-Energy Nuclear energy startup (IPO)
  • Renaissance IPO ETF Exchange-traded fund focused on IPOs
  • Vistra Energy company
  • Constellation Energy Energy company
  • ServiceNow Software company
  • Tractor Supply Retailer
  • Broadcom Semiconductor company
  • SanDisk Brand (Western Digital)

MarketMoodz Analysis

A stronger-than-expected jobless-claims print would tilt rate expectations and could lift cyclicals; investors will parse a heavy earnings slate for guidance on AI demand, pricing power and margins. The data, alongside AI-driven commentary from ServiceNow and other software/industrial names, could amplify sector rotations between tech, industrials and financials.

Historically, a data- and earnings-driven session in a rate- and earnings environment has produced bifurcated moves: AI-exposed growth names can surge on optimistic guidance, while higher-for-longer rate bets weigh on cyclicals like airlines and energy. The mix of IPO chatter, M&A rumors and commodity-price moves adds volatility; traders should watch for evolving guidance and after-hours price action as the session unfolds.

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