Goldman bets on MSFT rebound as AI momentum lifts Mag 7 laggard
Goldman Sachs has a Buy rating on Microsoft with a $600 price target, implying about 61% upside. The call centers on AI momentum potentially turning the Mag 7 rebound story, even as the stock remains the group’s year-to-date laggard. Goldman argues slowing deceleration in Microsoft 365 and improving Copilot datapoints could lift earnings in the next nine months.
Key Takeaways
- Goldman Sachs assigns MSFT a Buy with a $600 target, about 61% upside.
- MSFT is the Mag 7's worst performer year-to-date and the biggest laggard in 2026.
- About 3% of commercial Office customers had Copilot licenses as of end-March.
- 55 of 60 analysts cover Microsoft with Buy/Strong Buy.
- Goldman expects AI-related products to become meaningful earnings and revenue drivers in the next 9 months.
People Involved
- Gabriela Borges Goldman Sachs Analyst
Entities Involved
- Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Technology company
- Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Investment bank
MarketMoodz Analysis
Goldman’s thesis hinges on AI-driven products becoming a meaningful earnings and revenue driver for Microsoft within a nine-month window. The note points to a slower pace of deceleration in Microsoft 365 and improving Copilot datapoints as catalysts that could lift demand for the AI-enabled, high-end enterprise license tier.
The stock has faced meaningful pressure this year, lagging peers in the Mag 7 and fueling concerns that AI displacement could blunt Microsoft 365 adoption. Yet if the AI cycle accelerates, the rebound could reshape sentiment around the Mag 7 and press investors to reassess risk-reward in enterprise software and AI compute leadership.
What to watch next includes updated Copilot adoption metrics beyond March, progress on Copilot-enabled enterprise licenses, and any adjustments to MSFT’s AI-related earnings trajectory in upcoming earnings or price-target revisions.
Source: Original Article
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