Tech

Goldman bets on MSFT rebound as AI momentum lifts Mag 7 laggard

Goldman Sachs has a Buy rating on Microsoft with a $600 price target, implying about 61% upside. The call centers on AI momentum potentially turning the Mag 7 rebound story, even as the stock remains the group’s year-to-date laggard. Goldman argues slowing deceleration in Microsoft 365 and improving Copilot datapoints could lift earnings in the next nine months.

Goldman bets on MSFT rebound as AI momentum lifts Mag 7 laggard

Key Takeaways

  • Goldman Sachs assigns MSFT a Buy with a $600 target, about 61% upside.
  • MSFT is the Mag 7's worst performer year-to-date and the biggest laggard in 2026.
  • About 3% of commercial Office customers had Copilot licenses as of end-March.
  • 55 of 60 analysts cover Microsoft with Buy/Strong Buy.
  • Goldman expects AI-related products to become meaningful earnings and revenue drivers in the next 9 months.

People Involved

  • Gabriela Borges Goldman Sachs Analyst

Entities Involved

  • Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Technology company
  • Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Investment bank

MarketMoodz Analysis

Goldman’s thesis hinges on AI-driven products becoming a meaningful earnings and revenue driver for Microsoft within a nine-month window. The note points to a slower pace of deceleration in Microsoft 365 and improving Copilot datapoints as catalysts that could lift demand for the AI-enabled, high-end enterprise license tier.

The stock has faced meaningful pressure this year, lagging peers in the Mag 7 and fueling concerns that AI displacement could blunt Microsoft 365 adoption. Yet if the AI cycle accelerates, the rebound could reshape sentiment around the Mag 7 and press investors to reassess risk-reward in enterprise software and AI compute leadership.

What to watch next includes updated Copilot adoption metrics beyond March, progress on Copilot-enabled enterprise licenses, and any adjustments to MSFT’s AI-related earnings trajectory in upcoming earnings or price-target revisions.

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