Finance

Friday’s Big Stock Stories: Inflation, Growth Data, Oil Rally

Friday's session centers on a data-heavy slate and geopolitics that could move the tape. The PCE price index and Q4 GDP second estimate arrive at 8:30 a.m. ET as Brent crude hovers near $100, lifting energy names and pressuring utilities.

Friday’s Big Stock Stories: Inflation, Growth Data, Oil Rally

Key Takeaways

  • PCE inflation and the Q4 GDP second estimate at 8:30 a.m. ET will shape near-term inflation and growth expectations.
  • Brent crude trades around $100, with WTI up roughly 40%-45% since the war began, fueling an energy rally.
  • Kroger and ADM hit new highs, signaling resilience in consumer staples and agricultural exposure.
  • SentinelOne up about 5% during the war, with CEO Tomer Weingarten citing Iran cyberattack threats on Squawk Box and elevated cyber risk.
  • Energy names and certain utilities rally to or near all-time highs as geopolitical risk keeps a bid in oil and gas equities, with HACK up about 6.6% since the war began.

People Involved

  • Tomer Weingarten CEO, SentinelOne

Entities Involved

  • Kroger Co. (KR) Grocery retailer
  • Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. (ADM) Agribusiness and food products
  • SentinelOne, Inc. Cybersecurity company
  • Amplify Cybersecurity ETF (HACK) Cybersecurity-focused ETF
  • Chevron Corp. Oil & gas company
  • Marathon Petroleum Corp. Oil refining and energy company
  • Phillips 66 Energy company
  • Valero Energy Corp. Refiner
  • Devon Energy Corp. Oil and gas producer
  • EQT Corp. Natural gas producer
  • Duke Energy Corp. Utilities
  • Brent crude (ICE) Crude price benchmark

MarketMoodz Analysis

The data slate and geopolitics are shaping near-term moves in inflation-sensitive assets. Investors will parse the PCE inflation print and BEA GDP revision for guidance on whether the Fed stays on its current path or accelerates rate expectations, which would impact equities, bonds and the dollar. The energy rally tied to higher oil prices could tilt leadership toward energy and utilities bands while creating volatility around data prints and headlines.

Historically, geopolitics and commodity shocks have driven rotation into sectors with pricing power and defensive capacity during inflation regimes. The current mix—sticky inflation signals, resilient consumer-facing names, and a surge in energy gains—mirrors episodes where energy and utilities outperform while cyclicals wobble. Monitoring oil-price dynamics, macro revisions, and policy commentary will be crucial.

Keep an eye on the 8:30 a.m. ET releases (PCE and GDP) for signals on the inflation-growth path, and monitor geopolitical headlines that could extend oil-price volatility. Watch for how energy equities behave around the data prints, and whether cyber-security stocks like SentinelOne and the HACK ETF continue to act as risk proxies in a tense risk backdrop.

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